The Not-A-Tropical-Storm in the Gulf (AL162019), Friday mid-day update

Structurally TTITG isn’t a tropical storm yet, although with 50 knot winds (60mph) if it had a closed circulation it would be a healthy one.  Sort of looks like one too …

… and it will cause tropical-storm like damage across the Big Bend area of Florida and south Georgia.  Potential economic impacts jumped a bit with the higher winds speeds, up to nearly a Billion dollars, most of it indirect like canceled travel plans (grumble).

Here is the estimated impact swath based on the new (11am) forecast by NHC:

Bottom line hasn’t changed much: heavy rains, gusty winds, scattered power outages, just a wet messy day tonight and Saturday across North and Central Florida, extending in to Georgia and South Carolina Saturday.  For GA/SC, a bit more drift to the right (east) will keep the worst of it offshore, so those worried about Football in Athens and Columbia might get off a bit easier.  In short, inconvenient, hazardous to travel or be outside in the darker red areas, or south or east of the pink line on the above map, but not really dangerous except right on the Florida shoreline from maybe Clearwater around to the Pensacola area.

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