The tropical low in the Gulf of Mexico that is threatening to ruin our weekend (that we’ve been planning for six months, not that I’m resentful or anything) is slowly developing, and NHC now gives it a 80% chance of becoming a storm in the next 48 hours. Here are the possible tracks, and intensity/wind forecast from the GFS model. Note there is not an official forecast track at this time, and no watches or warnings. While it is likely to remain a weak system, it could still disrupt travel across Florida for those making the pilgrimage to Tampa to see the Anneke, Amorphis, and Delain concert. But … you can’t control the storm 🙁 .