Dorian has made landfall in North Carolina overnight – well, at least the northern eyewall did – and is now moving off into the North Atlantic. Here’s the radar scan from Wilmington NC at landfall, and the current MRMS composite with various warnings overlaid:
It seems that like Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina, the hurricane force winds are staying offshore, although NC is seeing high sustained tropical storm force winds. The biggest risk right now is flash flooding, as indicated by the red boxes above. Heavy rain bands will continue to inundate NC and southern Virginia today as the storm moves away.
There are currently six active tropical cyclones/hurricanes in the world. Aside from Dorian (AL052019), Gabrielle(AL082019) has been wandering in the mid Atlantic. While it has deteriorated into a post-tropical system, it is expected to reform in the next few days. There is also a system in the Cape Verde islands, being watched as AL942019, that has some potential to spin up into a tropical storm in 3-5 days.
In the East Pacific, Julliette (EP11) is in open water, while Akoni is well south of the islands of Hawai’i.
Finally, two tropical cyclones are threatening land in the West Pacific. Faxai is forecast to hit Japan as a hurricane, and given the track is over Tokyo could cause a lot of damage and disruption (although Japan is well equipped to deal with these things), while LingLing is on track to hit the Koreas and may hit North Korea rather hard (and the PDRK isn’t equipped to deal with it) …
Thanks to everyone for the kind words about the Dorian commentary. I hope it was helpful. At this point, returning to less frequent posts concentrating on policy, research, as well as posts about other stuff I’m working on (including a long-delayed rant about the INF and other arms treaties 😛 ).