Hurricane Lane and Hawaii Impact Forecast 22 Aug

Hurricane Lane is a powerful storm located just south of the Big Island of Hawai’i.  Here’s the latest (715am ET, 115am HT) infrared satellite image with radar overlay …

… and here is the latest forecast track from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC), with the Haetta/TC impact model forecast (Haetta/TC is a new model I’m working on):

On this track the worst of the impacts should stay well south of the Islands, with impact estimates currently in the low millions of dollars.  However, this track is a reminder of the scary bad Hurricane Iniki from 1992.  Here is the Inki track and impact, with the current forecast for Lane by comparison:

Inki caused about $5 Billion in adjusted damage and devastated the island of Kaua’i.  Lane is forecast to weaken as it turns away (a turn which seems to be starting), but a wobble or drift to the right could cause significant damage to the state.  There are warnings up for the Big Island, where tropical storm force winds are forecast for late today or early tomorrow (Hawai’i time).  A watch is up for the rest of the islands, with the worst conditions expected on Thursday, but everyone should be wrapping up their preparations for a drift in the wrong direction from the forecast track …

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.