Tropical Update; Beryl/Puerto Rico, Chris, Maria, Japan Flooding

Three tropical cyclones to talk about today.  In the Atlantic, Beryl continues to weaken as it passes over Dominica and Guadeloupe.  The major concern at the moment is that it will dump a lot of rain across the Greater Antilles (Puerto Rico and Hispaniola) Monday; Puerto Rico’s infrastructure is still rather fragile.  Off the North Carolina coast, Tropical Storm Chris has formed from TD#3.  It will meander and strengthen off the US coast for a couple days before heading north, probably becoming a minimal hurricane and paralleling the shoreline before hitting Newfoundland as a strong transitioning extratropical system.  While a further westward wobble isn’t likely, worth keeping an eye on if you live on the outer banks and Northeast.  The strongest winds should stay well offshore, but waves and some rain are possible.  Here’s the current forecast impact map for the Atlantic:

In the West Pacific, Tropical Cyclone Maria is still headed for Northern Taiwan and the Chinese Mainland, currently forecast to make landfall as a strong category 2 storm on Wednesday.  Upwards of $5 Billion in impacts are possible on this track, but a slight wobble to the south could bring Taipei in the damage swath and easily quadruple that number …

The major flood event in Japan continues – millions evacuated, over 70 presumed or confirmed dead as heavy rain continued yesterday.  Things should clear up a bit over the next few days, but the threat of landslides continues, and with the ground supersaturated it may not dry out before the next round of precipitation.

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