Beryl, TD3 in the Atlantic; Pacific region disasters (current and future)

So much for vacation: suddenly got awfully busy around here … starting in the Atlantic, we have two storms this morning.  Here’s the big picture …

The first, “Hurricane” Beryl, is a very compact and (most likely) weakening storm headed towards Martinique (as a tropical storm) and points west.  Naturally people in Puerto Rico are concerned about this system, but it looks like it will pass to the south as a disorganized low. That said, any system dumping rain across the island can cause lots of misery, especially given the extensive damage left over from last year.  Impacts for forecast to be less than 1/10th of that forecast yesterday, but it’s a small weird storm, hard to model, and NHC has more disclaimers in their forecast discussion than usual …

The other Atlantic storm is TD#3.  Tropical Depression #3 is off the coast of North Carolina, and is expected to meander for a bit then strengthen into a minimal hurricane and head north, staying just offshore.  No watches or warnings up for this one at the moment.

The Pacific is active as well, with a storm in the East Pacific (Fabio, well off of Mexico) that is weakening over colder waters.  There is a new typhoon near the Mariana Islands that is forecast to pass just north of Taiwan and hit the Chinese coast – it could be fairly strong at that time, more as it develops.  But the big story in the east is the massive flooding in Japan.  Here is the CFS2 model total precip across the region yesterday.

This BBC report has more detail – 38 reported killed so far, and unfortunately the rains are expected to continue.

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