Vongfong Update

The track has shifted a bit from yesterday’s forecast, and the storm is now predicted by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center to track directly across Japan.  Here’s the wind swath using my TARU model:
vong_fri

Impact forecast at $1.5 to $2 Billion USD, not a huge event for Japan, but given fragile economic conditions unwelcome.  The big research question is the impact on Fukushima, and how much trouble the rain and runoff will aggravate the radiation washout situation.

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