Some views of Arthur

Here are a few views of Arthur this afternoon – it’s starting to look like a real storm.  Current forecasts are for it to continue tracking towards the Outer Banks of North Carolina, and conditions remain favorable for it to become a hurricane.  First, here is a visual satellite image.  You can clearly see an eye trying to form:
al01_vis_2jul

Next, here is the view from the Melbourne, Florida, Radar as of 4pm.  Again you can see the classic spiral structure of a maturing storm:
al01_mlb_2jul_001

Here is a 3d view from a computer model, based on data from this morning, showing that the storm is trying to develop vertical structure and outflow:
sfc_qvapor

And, finally, for those of you who might care where the storm is going to go next :), here are the latest (3pm) track forecasts, and the 2pm position fixes (that the models use for the 5pm official forecast):
al01_trk_2julpm

 

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